Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 15.673043 18.285253 21.129663 24.448079 28.203896 32.313434 37.140516
2025-02-16 10.881437 14.358405 18.543206 23.906741 30.549736 38.455489 48.518611
2025-02-23 8.152827 11.899506 16.787552 23.531058 32.476799 43.808505 59.098793
2025-03-02 6.424872 10.232401 15.553204 23.358156 34.308123 48.888057 69.483810
2025-03-09 5.190938 8.948616 14.533139 23.178469 35.907402 53.588764 79.541759
2025-03-16 3.962524 7.401256 12.836007 21.706334 35.389395 55.176614 85.285254
2025-03-23 3.473347 6.930692 12.675463 22.457415 38.111792 61.470768 98.014272
2025-03-30 3.133191 6.642330 12.744129 23.535212 41.374739 68.734125 112.577693
2025-04-06 2.596109 5.888512 11.907775 23.001158 41.992540 71.981001 121.273271
2025-04-13 2.075389 5.055870 10.797734 21.838772 41.423717 73.270374 126.958515
2025-04-20 1.927806 4.951679 11.005179 23.008863 44.849797 81.112275 143.344389
2025-04-27 1.843080 4.965177 11.433216 24.612037 49.131258 90.584567 162.830216
2025-05-04 1.599631 4.594417 11.088219 24.801102 51.065823 96.523282 177.334184
2025-05-11 1.361200 4.186446 10.614776 24.704699 52.511929 101.806036 191.219349
2025-05-18 1.145910 3.781265 10.078122 24.405253 53.533015 106.398812 204.194323
2025-05-25 0.974813 3.446715 9.639782 24.243596 54.780584 111.443451 218.202589
2025-06-01 0.829577 3.143786 9.220783 24.061297 55.950477 116.393960 232.288641
2025-06-08 0.642639 2.656351 8.260273 22.541558 54.253202 115.906093 236.602269
2025-06-15 0.586837 2.569675 8.301540 23.317418 57.368830 124.647989 258.099868
2025-06-22 0.549730 2.536295 8.478155 24.430427 61.282622 135.133991 283.312384
2025-06-29 0.457926 2.278167 7.993856 23.878971 61.541173 138.516827 295.435825
2025-07-06 0.361948 1.965727 7.290254 22.678495 60.238321 138.702259 301.484349
2025-07-13 0.344796 1.965606 7.512836 23.886928 64.479831 150.272905 329.920924